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"https://theclaudetrader.com/s/TT.md", "research_packet": "https://theclaudetrader.com/r/TT.json", "index": "https://theclaudetrader.com/llms.txt" }, "dossier": null, "cite_as": "The Claude Trader snapshot 2026-10-26, https://theclaudetrader.com/s/TT; data from SEC EDGAR XBRL and market prices (Alpaca Market Data, Yahoo Finance) to 2026-10-23.", "disclaimer": "Scores are deterministic rule outputs from public filings. fair_value_model is a labelled model estimate from the same filings (method at /fair-value), not an opinion or recommendation.", "fair_value_model": { "fair_value": 279.46, "fv_low": 106.98, "fv_high": 454.3, "fv_gap_pct": -37.2, "fv_verdict": "red", "fv_methods": 3, "fv_as_of": "2026-10-23", "fv_calculated_on": "2026-10-26", "fv_inputs_through": "2026-07-30", "fv_skipped": null, "unit": "per traded unit (share or ADS), same currency as the price", "methods": { "dcf": { "value": 279.4637607699343, "growth_used": 0.1, "fcf_avg": 2558466666.6666665, "inputs": { "fcf": { "value": 2558466666.6666665, "years": [ 2023, 2024, 2025 ], "by_year": [ 2088900000.0, 2775000000.0, 2811500000.0 ], "cfo": [ { "value": 2389600000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2023-12-31", "accession": "0001628280-26-005731", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026005731/" }, { "value": 3145600000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2024-12-31", "accession": "0001628280-26-005731", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026005731/" }, { "value": 3194500000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001628280-26-005731", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026005731/" } ], "capex": [ { "value": 300700000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2023-12-31", "accession": "0001466258-25-000039", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000146625825000039/" }, { "value": 370600000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "period_end": "2024-12-31", "accession": "0001466258-25-000039", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000146625825000039/" }, { "value": 383000000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets (10-K via companyfacts; capex fallback)", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001628280-26-005731", "filed": "2026-02-05", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026005731/" } ] }, "revenue_cagr_5y": { "value": 0.11352129327156257, "from": { "value": 12454700000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax", "period_end": "2020-12-31", "accession": "0001466258-23-000058", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000146625823000058/" }, "to": { "value": 21321900000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001628280-26-005731", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026005731/" } }, "shares": { "value": 220023177.0, "tag": "SEC cover page 10-Q 0001628280-26-051117 (220,023,177 shares (single class on cover)); filing document https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026051117/tt-20260630.htm", "period_end": "2026-07-24", "accession": "0001628280-26-051117", "filed": "2026-07-30", "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026051117/R1.htm" } } }, "earnings": { "value": 454.3, "pe_used": 35.0, "pe_raw": 36.319669913419915, "pe_basis": "SIC 38 peer median excluding itself (38 peers)", "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 12.98, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001628280-26-005731", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026005731/", "value_reported": 12.98, "split_factor": 1.0 } } }, "graham": { "value": 106.98455003477267, "inputs": { "eps": { "fy": 2025, "value": 12.98, "tag": "SEC XBRL EarningsPerShareDiluted", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "accession": "0001628280-26-005731", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026005731/", "value_reported": 12.98, "split_factor": 1.0 }, "bvps": { "value": 39.19087124171469, "equity": { "value": 8622900000.0, "tag": "SEC XBRL StockholdersEquity", "period_end": "2026-06-30", "accession": "0001628280-26-051117", "filed": null, "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1466258/000162828026051117/" }, "shares": 220023177.0 } } } }, "method_note": "Median of up to three methods from SEC filings: owner-earnings DCF (3-yr avg FCF, 10-yr two-stage, growth = min(5-yr revenue CAGR, 10%) fading to 2.5%, 9% discount), trailing EPS x SIC-peer median P/E (8-35), Graham number. Model estimate, not advice.", "discount_rate": 0.09, "terminal_growth": 0.025, "verdict_rule": "green: fair value more than 10% above price; red: more than 10% below; amber: within 10%", "page": "https://theclaudetrader.com/fair-value" } }